Jets vs. Texans odds, prediction, time, spread, line: Thursday Night Football picks by NFL model that’s 13-5

Teams trending in opposite directions will meet when the Houston Texans face the New York Jets in a key AFC matchup on Thursday Night Football. Houston is coming off a 23-20 win over the Indianapolis Colts, while New York dropped a 25-22 decision at New England last Sunday. The Texans (6-2), who hold a two-game lead atop the AFC South standings, have won four of their past five games. The Jets (2-6), who are tied with the Patriots for third in the AFC East, have lost five in a row. The Texans will be without receivers Stefon Diggs, who tore his ACL last Sunday and is out for the season, and Nico Collins, who is on IR with a hamstring injury. The Jets will be without linebacker C.J. Mosley, who was ruled out on Wednesday with a neck injury.

Kickoff from MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, N.J., is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. New York is a 2.5-point favorite in the latest Jets vs. Texans odds from the SportsLine Consensus, up 1.5 points from the opener, while the over/under for total points scored is 43. New York is a -144 money-line favorite (risk $144 to win $100), while the Texans are +122 underdogs (risk $100 to win $122). Before making any Texans vs. Jets picks, be sure to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 9 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 13-5 betting hot streak on top-rated NFL picks this year. Longer term, it is on a 194-134 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season and a 48-27 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen strong returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Texans vs. Jets and just locked in its NFL picks and NFL predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NFL odds and NFL betting lines for Jets vs. Texans:

Jets vs. Texans spread: New York -2.5
Jets vs. Texans over/under: 43 points
Jets vs. Texans money line: Houston +117, New York Jets -137
HOU: Texans are 4-5-1 against the spread in their last 10 games
NYJ: Jets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games
Jets vs. Texans picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why you should back the Texans

Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud has thrown for 1,948 yards and 11 touchdowns, completing 66.5% of his passes. He has been picked off four times, but has a rating of 95.6. Stroud has thrown for 300 or more yards in two games, including 345 and two touchdowns in a 24-20 win over Jacksonville on Sept. 29.

Veteran running back Joe Mixon leads the rushing attack. In five games this season, Mixon has carried 102 times for 503 yards (4.9 average) and five touchdowns. He has had four explosive plays of 20 yards or more, including a long of 59. He has also caught 14 passes for 115 yards (8.2 average) and one touchdown. He has four games of 100 yards or more, including a 30-carry, 159-yard and one-touchdown performance in a 29-27 at Indianapolis on Sept. 8. See which team to pick here.

Why you should back the Jets

Jets quarterback Aaron Rodgers has completed 61.6% of his passes this season for 1,896 yards and 12 touchdowns with seven interceptions. He has thrown for 250 or more yards in three games, including 294 and two touchdowns with one interception in a 23-20 loss to the Buffalo Bills on Oct. 14.

Rodgers’ top target has been wide receiver Garrett Wilson. In eight games, he has 51 receptions for 573 yards (11.2 average) and three touchdowns. He has nine explosive plays of 20 yards or more, including a long of 35. He also has 227 yards after the catch with 31 first-down conversions. In the loss to the Bills, he caught eight passes for 107 yards (13.4 average) and one touchdown. See which team to pick here.